HomeMy WebLinkAboutRes 2014-02-04 Land Use Assumptions and Capital Improvement Plan - Roadway Impact FeesCITY OF ANNA, TEXAS
RESOLUTION NO. 2014-02-04
A RESOLUTION OF THE CITY OF ANNA, TEXAS ADOPTING LAND USE ASSUMPTIONS
AND CAPITAL IMPROVEMENT PLAN FOR PROPOSED ADOPTION OF ROADWAY
IMPACT FEES.
WHEREAS, The City has adopted Impact Fees in the Past; and
WHEREAS, The City wishes to adopt Land Use Assumptions and Capital Improvements
Plan for Proposed Impact Fees, and
WHEREAS, The State of Texas Local Government Code Section 395 has outlined the
procedures for Updating Impact Fees, and
WHEREAS, the Impact Advisory Committee has review the Land Use Assumptions and
Capital Improvements Plan; now therefore
NOW THEREFORE, BE IT RESOLVED BY THE CITY COUNCIL OF THE CITY OF
ANNA, TEXAS, THAT:
Section 1. Recitals Incorporated.
The recitals above are incorporated herein as if set forth in full for all purposes.
Section 2. Land Use Assumptions.
The Land Use Assumptions are adopted
Section 3. Capital Improvements Plan.
The Capital Improvement Plans for Roadways are adopted.
PASSED AND APPROVED by the City Council of the City of Anna, Texas, on this 25th day
of February, 2014.
ATTEST: 7APP
7/
N6 a Wilkison, City Secretary t.;� Q O F,Mayor, Mike Crist
m _
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9
Res. 2014-02-04 Adopt Land Use Assumptions & Capitl IQ4p iit 'I ; nosed Roadway Impact Fees 1 02-25-14
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CITY
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Advisory Committee
Justin Burr — Chairman & Planning and Zoning Commissioner
Sandy Setliff — Member from Real Estate Community & Planning and Zoning Commissioner
Tiffany Burleson — Planning and Zoning Commissioner
Elaine Gothard — Planning and Zoning Commissioner
John Johnson — Planning and Zoning Commissioner
Darrin Columbo — Planning and Zoning Commissioner
Lee Miller — Planning and Zoning Commissioner
Gary Billups — Member from Extraterritorial Jurisdiction
Staff
Philip Sanders — City Manager
Kenny Jenks — Police Chief — Deputy City Manager
Tim Gothard — Fire Chief
Maurice Schwanke — Director of Planning and Development
Rob Woods — Public Works Director
Clayton Fulton — Finance Director
Page 1 of 14
LAND USE ASSUMPTIONS FOR IMPACT FEES
PURPOSE
The purpose of this study is to analyze both existing and future land use, and to forecast growth trends for the City of
Arora. This land use data provides a basis for determining and scheduling the capital improvements required to serve
the existing and future population of the City of Alma. This study fulfills the requirements of Chapter 395 of the Texas
Local Government Code which prescribes the process by which cities in Texas must formulate impact fees. The
purpose of impact fees is to provide an equitable funding method for future capital improvement facilities for: water
transmission, distribution, production and storage; wastewater collection, transmission and treatment, and thoroughfares
to serve new developments in the City of Anna.
These land use assumptions, which also include population, and basic, service, and retail land use projections, will
become the basis for the preparation of impact fee capital improvement plans for water, wastewater, and roadway
facilities.
To assist the City of Anna in determining the need and timing of capital improvements to serve future development, a
reasonable estimation of future growth is required. The purpose of this report is to formulate growth and development
projections based upon assumptions pertaining to the type, location, quantity and timing of various future land uses
within the community, and to establish and document the methodology used for preparing the growth and land use
assumptions.
ELEMENTS OF THE LAND USE ASSUMPTIONS REPORT
This report contains the following components:
I. Methodology -- Explanation of the general methodology used to prepare the land use assumptions.
II. Data Collection Service Area Maps (Figures 1, and 2) -- Explanation of division of the City into impact fee
service areas for roadway, water and wastewater facilities.
III. Base Year Data -- Information on population, employment, and land use for Anna as of 2014 for each capital
facility service area.
IV. Ten -Year Growth Assumptions -- Population and employment growth assumptions for ten years by impact fee
service areas.
V. Summary -- Brief synopsis of the land use assumptions report.
Page 2 of 14
I. METHODOLOGY
Based upon the growth assumptions and the capital improvements needed to support growth, it is possible to develop an
impact fee structure which fairly allocates improvement costs to growth areas in relationship to their impact upon the
entire infrastructure system. The database and projections in this report have been fonnulated using reasonable and
generally accepted planning principles. These land use assumptions and future growth projections take into
consideration several factors influencing development patterns, including the following:
• The character, type, density, and quantity of existing development
• Existing zoning patterns
• Anticipated future land use (as shown on the City's Future Land Use Plan)
• Availability of land for future expansion
• Current and historical growth trends within the City
• Building permit activity trends
Basic, Retail, and Service land use absorption rates
• Physical holding capacity of the City
Known or anticipated development projects
Following is the general methodology used for the preparation of this report -
1 .
eport:1. Update impact fee service areas as necessary for roadway, water and wastewater facilities (see Section II -- Service
Area Maps).
2. Collect/determine benchmark data on population, basic, retail and service land use as of 2014 (see SectionHI--Base
Year Data).
3. Project population and basic, retail and service land use growth for ten years by impact fee service area (see Section
IV --
Ten-Year Growth Assumptions).
More detailed discussion for each of the above is contained within the respective sections.
Page 3 of 14
II. SERVICE AREA MAPS
Service Area Maps
Figure 1, entitled "Roadway Impact Fee Service Area Structure", details the nine (9) service areas for roadway facilities.
Although the capital improvements plan and impact fees will be prepared as a separate document for roadway facilities,
the geographic boundaries of the roadway service areas are shown as Figure 1.
Figure 2 show the service areas for water and wastewater facilities. The boundary for water and wastewater facilities
service area is the combination of the existing city limits and the extraterritorial jurisdiction. Documents containing the
capital improvements plan for water and wastewater facilities will also be prepared separately.
Data Format
The existing data base, as well as the future projections, was formulated according to the following format
and categories:
Service Area Correlates to the proposed roadway, water and wastewater service areas
identified on the attached maps.
Housing Units (2014) All housing units including single-family, duplex, multi -family and group quarters. The
number of existing housing units has been shown for the base year (January 1, 2014).
Housing Units (2024) Projected housing units by service zone for January 2024 (ten-year growth projections).
Population (2014) Existing population for the base year (January 2014).
Population (2024) Projected population by service area for the year 2024 (ten-year growth
projections).
Employment (2014, 2024) Employment data is aggregated to three employment sectors and include,-
Basic,
nclude:Basic, Retail and Service. The following details which North American
Industry Classification (MAIC) codes fall within each of the three sectors,
Basic (4210000 to #422999) -- Land use activities that produce goods and services
such as those that are exported outside the local economy; manufacturing, construction,
transportation, wholesale trade, warehousing and other industrial uses.
Retail (#440000 to #454390) -- Land use activities which provide for the retail sale of
goods that primarily serve households and whose location choice is oriented toward the
household sector such as grocery stores, restaurants, etc.
Service (11520000 to #928199) -- Land use activities which provide personal and
professional services such as financial, insurance, government, and other professional
and administrative offices.
Page 4 of 14
1H. BASE YEAR DATA
This section documents the City's historical growth trends and data from the base year of January 1, 2014.
This "benchmark" information provides a starting basis of data for the ten-year growth assumptions that will
be presented within the following section.
Population Growth
The existing and past population levels for Anna are depicted in Table 1. As indicated, between 1940 and
2010 the population growth has been substantial, increasing from 509 persons in 1940 to 8,249 persons in
2010. The 2013 estimated population estimated the North Central Council of Governments is 9,360 persons,
which represents a significant increase (13.5%) since the 2010 estimate. Currently, the total population is
estimated to be 10,300 based on the housing count prepared in this report. This estimate uses an average
household population of 3.15 and an occupancy rate of 94 percent. Additionally, within the City and the ETJ
the population is estimated to be over 13,632 persons.
TABLE I
ANNA
POPULATION GROWT]
YEAR
POPULATION
1940
509
1950
525
1960
639
1970
736
1980
855
1990
904
2000
1225
2010
8,249
2013
9,360 **
2014
10,300 ***
* Source: U.S. Census
y North Central Texas Council of Govermnents Population Estimates
Y� * The January 2014 population estimate shown above was derived using data from this 2014 Land Use
Assumptions Report. Source: City of Anna
Existing Land Use
In any evaluation and projection of future land use patterns, a documentation of existing conditions is
essential. Documentation of existing land use patterns and population was made from the City's
Comprehensive Plan as amended and used as a base line for future growth projections.
Table 2 represents a summary of existing population and employment acreages for Anna and the associated
water and wastewater planning areas. The appendices detail data by various impact fee service areas.
Page 7 of 14
TABLE 2
ANNA
EXISTING POPULATION & EMPLOYMENT -2014
BY AREAS
Roadway Boundary - City Limits
Housing Units
3,479
Population
10,300
Total Employment Acreage
101.6
Basic Employment Acreage
37.5
Retail Ern loyment Acreage
44.7
Service Employment Acreage
19.4
Water Boundary — City Limits and ETJ
Housing Units
4,604
Population
13,632
Waste Water Boundary— Citv Limits and ETJ
Housing Units
4,604
Population
13,632
Source: City of Anna
IV. TEN-YEAR GROWTH ASSUMPTIONS
Growth is characterized in two forms: population (residential land use) and employment (nonresidential land
use). A series of assumptions were made to arrive at reasonable growth rates for population and employment.
The following assumptions have been made as a basis from which ten-year projections could be developed.
Future land uses will occur as identified on the Future Land Use Plan adopted in 2010 with updates
The City will be able to finance the necessary improvements to accommodate growth,
School facilities will accommodate increases in population, and
_ Densities will be as projected as detailed in the Comprehensive Plan.
The ten-year projections, or land use assumptions, are based upon the establislunent of a reasonable growth
rate which is based upon past trends or other considerations. Given the impact on growth due to the economic
fluctuations in the late 2000's, analysis of annual growth based on data from building permit data and U.S.
Census was undertaken to provide further insight into growth trends experienced within the City.
The single-family building permit activity since 2005 in Alma has fluctuated with time, going from 506 in
2005 to as low as 7 in 2009. Table 3 represents this fluctuation in growth and the data used to find the average
number of permits over the nine-year period, of 232 building permits. Several different scenarios were
produced to estimate the future population using a range of building permits from 200 to 300 and also
percentage increases of 6, 7 and 9 as shown in Table 4. The scenario that best fits the last two years of
building permits and the anticipated growth is the 7 percent therefore it was the growth rate used for this
analysis.
Page 8 of 14
._
ANNA
BUILDING PER
Year
Single Family
Building Permits
2005
_
506
2006
346
2007
148
2008
77
2009
7
2010
26
2011
100
2012
351
2013*
300
Avera Re
232
*Projected for Years End,
SOURCE: Planning and Development Department
TABLE 4
ANNA
POPULATION PROJECTIONS
Year
200 unit/yr
300 units/yr
5% after 2013
6% after 2013
7% after 2013
9% after 2013
2014
10,300
10,300
10,300
10,300
10,300
10,300
2015
10,900
11,200
10,815
10,918
11,021
11,227
2016
11,500
12,100
11,356
11,573
11,792
12,237
2017
12,100
13,000
11,924
12,267
12,618
13,339
2018
12,700
13,900
12,520
13,004
13,501
14,539
2019
13,300
14,800
13,146
13,784
14,446
15,848
2020
13,900
15,700
13,803
14,611
15,458
17,274
2021
14,500
16,600
14,493
15,487
16,540
18,829
2022
15,100
17,500
15,218
16,417
17,697
20,523
2023
15,700
18,400
15,979
17,402
18,936
22,371
2024
16,300
19,300
16,778
18,446
20,262
24,384
Source: City of Anna
Page 9 of 14
30,000
25,000
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
C
FIGURE 3
ANNA
POPULATION PROJECTIONS
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Source: City of Anna _
—0--200 unit/yr
300 units/yr
=;ryxr-- 5% after 2013
6% after 2013
ti 7% after 2013
9% after 2013
The development of ten-year housing estimates were calculated using the seven percent growth rate derived
above. However the growth was not projected to occur evenly throughout the roadway service areas of the
city. While growth will generally occur- throughout the city, the current city staff provided knowledge of the
key growth areas within the community,
Many new developments are in the planning phases with preliminary plats being currently submitted. The
following is a list of the major projects interests:
• Lake View Preliminary Plat —168 lots
• West Crossing Phase 4 — Final Plat Construction Plans under review — 70 lots
• Anna Crossing Phase I & 1B Preliminary Plat -175 lots
• Aima Crossing Phase I Construction Plans under review
• Anna Crossing Phase 2A Construction Plans under review — 59 lots
• Discussions on future phase of North Point Crossing — 498 lots
• Discussions on Villages of Hurricane Creek —1,008 lots
• Discussions on Oak Ridge — 2,635 lots
Page 10 of 14
Other conversations with developers are occurring regularly on other large land holdings. The ten-year
population estimates were determined by growing service areas to represent current development patterns
while also maintaining the 7 percent overall growth rate. The household growth figures are shown by
roadway service area in Table 5.
_A
ANNA
PROJECTED GROWTH BY SERVICE
SERVICE AREA
2014
HOUSEHOLDS
ANTICIPATED
DEVELOPMENT
PERMITS
2024
HOUSEHOLDS
ANNUAL
GROWTH RATE
2014-2024
A
123
595
718
19.29%
B
68
320
388
19.02%
C
1,704
625
21329
3.17
D
1,193
525
I,718
3.71%
E
522
650
1,172
8.42%
F
321
175
496
4.45%
G
184
535
719
14.60%
H
377
50
427
1.25%
I
_
104
50
154
4.00%
Total
4,596
3 525
8,121
5.86%
Source; City of Anna
TABLE 6
ANNA
TEN-YEAR POPULATION PROJECTIONS
ROADWAY
2014
2024
SERVICE
AREA
HOUSING
UNITS
POPULATION
NEW
HOUSING
UNITS
TOTAL
PROJECTED
HOUSING
UNITS
POPULATION
A
4
12
565
569
1,685
B
19
56
300
319
945
C
1,699
5,030
625
2,324
6,880
D
1,030
3,050
525
1,555
4,603
E
398
1,178
650
1,048
3,102
F
205
607
175
380
1,125
G
120
355
525
645
1,910
H
3
9
0
3
9
I
1
3
0
1
3
Total
3,479
10,300
3,365
6,844
20,262
Source: City of Anna
Page 11 of 14
Based on values in the Anna Comprehensive Plan the commercial land use which includes retail and service
that Anna has is approximately 0.7 acres per 100 persons and the industrial (basic) category had 0.2 acres per
100 acres. The City has been underserved with retail/office space and the absorption rate is anticipated to be
closer to 1.4 acres per hundred persons with 1,2 acres per hundred for retail and 0.2 acres for service. Basic
land use per 100 persons is recommended to be ,5 acres. It should also be mentioned that the location of the
basic, retail and service acreages are not distributed proportionately by area population but by zoning patterns
and anticipated developments.
TEN-YEARANNA
LAND USE PROJECTIONS
ROADWAY
SERVICE
BASIC
ACRES
RETAIL
ACRES
SERVICE
ACRES
TOTAL
ACRES
AREA
2014
2024
2014
2024
2014 s
2024
2014 2024
A
0
0
0
25
0
2
0 27
B
8.7
20
16.4
25
0
3
25.1 48
C
15.5
25
7.8
80
10.3
14
33.6 119
D
6.6
12
18.4
60
2
8
27 80
E
0
0
0
10
0
1
0 11
F
5.7
12
1.4
15
1.4
5
8.5 32
G
0
22
.7
15
1.8
3
2.5 40
11
0
0
0
7
0
0
0 7
I
1
10
0
6
3.9
5
4.9 21
TOTAL
37.5
101
44.7
243
19.4
41
101.6 385
Source: City of Anna
V.SUMMARY
® Anna presently contains approximately 15.01 square miles of land within the City limits and a total land
area within the city limits and extraterritorial jurisdiction of 60.94 square miles.
® The existing population of Anna is approximately 10,300 persons, and the existing estimated acreage of
basic, retail and service is 101.6 acres within the City Limits,
® An average annual growth rate of 7 percent was used to calculate the Anna's ten-year population growth
projections.
® The ten-year (2024) growth projection of Anna is 20,262 persons, and the ten-year projected acreage of
basic, retail and service land use is 385 acres.
Page 12 of 14
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APPENDIX B
ROADWAY AREA ESTIMATED
POPULATION CAPACITY
Area
Estimated
Population
Capacity
Area - A
5,390
Area - B
2,420
Area - C
15,140
Area - D
6,760
Area -E
3,280
Area - F
1,300
Area - G
10,980
Area - H
800
Area - 1
5,160
TOTAL
51,230
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